DDM Analysis: 4006.KL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.55 - $5.27	$4.37
Multi-Stage	$7.07 - $7.75	$7.41
Blended Fair Value	$5.89
Current Price	$6.83
Upside	-13.79%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	-2.76%	0.00%	0.40	0.40	0.60	0.20	0.08	0.46	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-33.33%	200.00%	150.00%	-82.61%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.65%	6.33%	9.05%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	271.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	248.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)	23.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	54.32	33.95	20.37
Cash Retained (M)	23.45	23.45	23.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-54.32	-33.95	-20.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-30.87	-10.50	3.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	620.36	620.36	620.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.05	-0.02	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.40	0.40	0.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.05	-0.02	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.35	0.38	0.40
WACC / Discount Rate	7.68%	7.68%	7.68%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$3.55	$4.37	$5.27
Upside / Downside	-48.08%	-36.03%	-22.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	271.59	268.88	266.19	263.53	260.89	258.28	266.03
Payout Ratio	91.37%	91.09%	90.82%	90.55%	90.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	248.14	244.93	241.75	238.61	235.52	232.45	246.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.68%	7.68%	7.68%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	225.16	227.46	229.76
Year 2 PV (M)	204.31	208.50	212.73
Year 3 PV (M)	185.38	191.11	196.96
Year 4 PV (M)	168.21	175.18	182.36
Year 5 PV (M)	152.62	160.57	168.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,452.45	3,632.22	3,819.41
Equity Value (M)	4,388.13	4,595.05	4,810.08
Shares Outstanding (M)	620.36	620.36	620.36
Fair Value	$7.07	$7.41	$7.75
Upside / Downside	3.57%	8.45%	13.52%

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Oriental Holdings Berhad (4006.KL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener