Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping Company Limited (3877.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.37 - $31.31$19.64
Multi-Stage$14.45 - $15.83$15.13
Blended Fair Value$17.38
Current Price$2.10
Upside727.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.03%0.00%0.120.100.090.090.080.030.240.000.000.00
YoY Growth--16.31%14.99%0.00%12.50%166.67%-87.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.65%6.96%7.72%8.21%7.30%2.28%19.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,027.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,373.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,653.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)805.42503.39302.03
Cash Retained (M)2,653.472,653.472,653.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-805.42-503.39-302.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,848.042,150.082,351.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,168.666,168.666,168.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate3.08%4.08%5.08%
Fair Value$13.37$19.64$31.31
Upside / Downside536.62%835.32%1,390.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,027.114,191.484,362.554,540.604,725.924,918.805,066.36
Payout Ratio34.11%45.29%56.47%67.64%78.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,373.651,898.232,463.353,071.443,725.064,426.924,686.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate3.08%4.08%5.08%
Year 1 PV (M)1,755.231,772.261,789.29
Year 2 PV (M)2,106.182,147.242,188.70
Year 3 PV (M)2,428.252,499.612,572.35
Year 4 PV (M)2,723.142,830.352,940.71
Year 5 PV (M)2,992.413,140.413,294.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)77,107.2280,920.6184,883.40
Equity Value (M)89,112.4393,310.4897,668.64
Shares Outstanding (M)6,168.666,168.666,168.66
Fair Value$14.45$15.13$15.83
Upside / Downside587.91%620.31%653.95%

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