Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Magnum Berhad (3859.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.59 - $0.79$0.69
Multi-Stage$1.87 - $2.07$1.97
Blended Fair Value$1.33
Current Price$1.27
Upside4.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.09%-9.90%0.070.060.050.020.070.170.150.100.130.17
YoY Growth--27.27%10.00%150.01%-73.14%-55.76%13.33%50.00%-25.93%-22.91%-12.63%
Dividend Yield--5.74%4.82%4.39%1.10%3.38%8.95%6.24%5.47%6.33%7.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)193.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)122.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)71.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.6624.1614.50
Cash Retained (M)71.1271.1271.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.66-24.16-14.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.4746.9656.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,437.181,437.181,437.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.56%6.56%6.56%
Growth Rate-9.98%-8.98%-7.98%
Fair Value$0.59$0.69$0.79
Upside / Downside-53.89%-45.72%-38.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)193.28175.92160.12145.74132.65120.74124.36
Payout Ratio63.20%68.56%73.92%79.28%84.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)122.16120.62118.37115.55112.28108.66115.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.56%6.56%6.56%
Growth Rate-9.98%-8.98%-7.98%
Year 1 PV (M)111.95113.19114.44
Year 2 PV (M)101.97104.25106.55
Year 3 PV (M)92.3995.5098.68
Year 4 PV (M)83.3287.0990.98
Year 5 PV (M)74.8579.1083.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,227.652,354.162,486.36
Equity Value (M)2,692.132,833.292,980.55
Shares Outstanding (M)1,437.181,437.181,437.18
Fair Value$1.87$1.97$2.07
Upside / Downside47.50%55.23%63.30%

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