Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

YungShin Global Holding Corporation (3705.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.37 - $53.33$43.14
Multi-Stage$49.40 - $53.92$51.62
Blended Fair Value$47.38
Current Price$58.60
Upside-19.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.80%2.86%2.482.391.711.992.172.161.961.472.451.87
YoY Growth--3.53%40.16%-14.08%-8.59%0.73%10.00%33.33%-40.00%31.25%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.39%4.90%3.89%4.71%4.92%4.87%4.73%3.54%5.45%3.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)963.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)869.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)192.62120.3972.23
Cash Retained (M)93.1293.1293.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-192.62-120.39-72.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)-99.50-27.2720.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)271.47271.47271.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.37-0.100.08
LTM Dividend per Share3.203.203.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.37-0.100.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.843.103.28
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$34.37$43.14$53.33
Upside / Downside-41.35%-26.38%-8.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)963.10981.03999.291,017.901,036.841,056.141,087.83
Payout Ratio90.33%90.26%90.20%90.13%90.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)869.98885.53901.35917.45933.85950.531,006.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)803.03810.99818.95
Year 2 PV (M)741.22756.00770.91
Year 3 PV (M)684.18704.73725.69
Year 4 PV (M)631.52656.94683.12
Year 5 PV (M)582.92612.39643.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,967.3310,471.3310,995.52
Equity Value (M)13,410.2014,012.3814,637.25
Shares Outstanding (M)271.47271.47271.47
Fair Value$49.40$51.62$53.92
Upside / Downside-15.70%-11.92%-7.99%

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