Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Raydium Semiconductor Corporation (3592.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$410.81 - $871.55$583.26
Multi-Stage$320.37 - $348.80$334.33
Blended Fair Value$458.80
Current Price$366.00
Upside25.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS20.44%0.00%15.0240.5344.489.166.985.930.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---62.93%-8.89%385.67%31.24%17.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.43%8.44%10.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,680.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,153.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)527.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)336.03210.02126.01
Cash Retained (M)527.13527.13527.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-336.03-210.02-126.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)191.10317.11401.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.7476.7476.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.494.135.23
LTM Dividend per Share15.0215.0215.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.494.135.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.5119.1620.25
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$410.81$583.26$871.55
Upside / Downside12.24%59.36%138.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,680.131,789.341,905.642,029.512,161.432,301.922,370.98
Payout Ratio68.63%72.90%77.18%81.45%85.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,153.001,304.441,470.691,653.041,852.892,071.732,193.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,174.741,185.871,197.01
Year 2 PV (M)1,192.771,215.491,238.42
Year 3 PV (M)1,207.371,242.031,277.34
Year 4 PV (M)1,218.771,265.651,313.86
Year 5 PV (M)1,227.231,286.511,348.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,565.1319,461.8320,392.86
Equity Value (M)24,586.0225,657.3826,767.54
Shares Outstanding (M)76.7476.7476.74
Fair Value$320.37$334.33$348.80
Upside / Downside-12.47%-8.65%-4.70%

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