Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Star Asia Investment Corporation (3468.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84,990.71 - $176,784.41$119,823.58
Multi-Stage$104,452.75 - $114,287.44$109,278.62
Blended Fair Value$114,551.10
Current Price$58,700.00
Upside95.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.68%0.00%1,815.392,646.512,186.902,022.812,182.311,377.401,317.011,397.61557.160.00
YoY Growth---31.40%21.02%8.11%-7.31%58.44%4.59%-5.77%150.84%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.09%4.66%3.80%3.41%3.61%3.25%2.25%2.60%1.11%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,030.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,424.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,606.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,406.191,503.87902.32
Cash Retained (M)2,606.382,606.382,606.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,406.19-1,503.87-902.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)200.191,102.511,704.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share79.53437.98676.95
LTM Dividend per Share3,743.973,743.973,743.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share79.53437.98676.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,823.504,181.954,420.92
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Fair Value$84,990.71$119,823.58$176,784.41
Upside / Downside44.79%104.13%201.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,030.9312,464.5512,913.8013,379.2513,861.4614,361.0614,791.89
Payout Ratio78.34%80.67%83.00%85.33%87.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,424.5510,055.0110,718.6711,417.1012,151.9612,924.9613,682.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Year 1 PV (M)9,287.409,377.919,468.43
Year 2 PV (M)9,144.589,323.709,504.56
Year 3 PV (M)8,996.859,262.489,533.28
Year 4 PV (M)8,844.899,194.789,554.95
Year 5 PV (M)8,689.349,121.129,569.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)217,972.01228,803.07240,060.47
Equity Value (M)262,935.08275,083.06287,691.58
Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
Fair Value$104,452.75$109,278.62$114,287.44
Upside / Downside77.94%86.16%94.70%

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