Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Foxsemicon Integrated Technology Inc. (3413.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$449.29 - $1,052.69$660.17
Multi-Stage$334.72 - $364.75$349.47
Blended Fair Value$504.82
Current Price$301.50
Upside67.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.18%0.00%9.8611.267.065.152.784.863.972.522.290.50
YoY Growth---12.42%59.47%37.03%85.34%-42.86%22.50%57.50%10.29%353.33%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.65%3.70%3.56%2.20%1.19%4.19%2.77%1.14%2.14%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,548.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,592.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)956.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)509.71318.57191.14
Cash Retained (M)956.47956.47956.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-509.71-318.57-191.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)446.76637.90765.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)119.01119.01119.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.755.366.43
LTM Dividend per Share13.3813.3813.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.755.366.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.1318.7419.81
WACC / Discount Rate9.52%9.52%9.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$449.29$660.17$1,052.69
Upside / Downside49.02%118.96%249.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,548.542,714.192,890.613,078.503,278.613,491.723,596.47
Payout Ratio62.47%67.98%73.48%78.99%84.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,592.071,844.992,124.082,431.652,770.223,142.543,326.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.52%9.52%9.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,668.761,684.571,700.39
Year 2 PV (M)1,737.671,770.761,804.17
Year 3 PV (M)1,799.261,850.911,903.54
Year 4 PV (M)1,853.991,925.291,998.62
Year 5 PV (M)1,902.271,994.152,089.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,872.2832,363.4233,911.64
Equity Value (M)39,834.2241,589.1143,407.91
Shares Outstanding (M)119.01119.01119.01
Fair Value$334.72$349.47$364.75
Upside / Downside11.02%15.91%20.98%

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