Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Universal Vision Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (3218.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$281.08 - $914.14$455.63
Multi-Stage$191.95 - $209.28$200.46
Blended Fair Value$328.04
Current Price$202.00
Upside62.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS44.19%0.00%6.985.644.483.761.791.120.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--23.67%26.00%19.05%110.00%60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.52%2.04%1.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)887.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)635.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)252.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)177.57110.9866.59
Cash Retained (M)252.42252.42252.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-177.57-110.98-66.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)74.85141.43185.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)85.0185.0185.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.881.662.19
LTM Dividend per Share7.477.477.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.881.662.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.369.149.66
WACC / Discount Rate8.64%8.64%8.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$281.08$455.63$914.14
Upside / Downside39.15%125.56%352.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)887.85945.561,007.031,072.481,142.191,216.441,252.93
Payout Ratio71.57%75.26%78.94%82.63%86.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)635.44711.59794.97886.17985.871,094.791,158.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.64%8.64%8.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)648.87655.03661.18
Year 2 PV (M)661.01673.60686.31
Year 3 PV (M)671.90691.19710.84
Year 4 PV (M)681.61707.82734.78
Year 5 PV (M)690.20723.54758.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,963.9413,590.1114,240.23
Equity Value (M)16,317.5317,041.2817,791.49
Shares Outstanding (M)85.0185.0185.01
Fair Value$191.95$200.46$209.28
Upside / Downside-4.98%-0.76%3.61%

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