Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Howteh Technology Co., Ltd. (3114.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.62 - $25.74$21.54
Multi-Stage$31.29 - $34.34$32.79
Blended Fair Value$27.17
Current Price$24.20
Upside12.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.03%0.00%1.201.250.811.090.861.200.460.380.610.00
YoY Growth---4.00%53.11%-25.00%26.60%-28.22%160.00%20.00%-37.50%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.78%4.51%3.12%4.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)152.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)78.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)74.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.4819.0511.43
Cash Retained (M)74.2574.2574.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.48-19.05-11.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.7755.2062.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.2565.2565.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.850.96
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.850.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.872.042.16
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.62$21.54$25.74
Upside / Downside-27.19%-10.99%6.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)152.40150.88149.37147.88146.40144.93149.28
Payout Ratio51.28%59.03%66.77%74.51%82.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)78.1689.0699.73110.19120.42130.44138.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)81.3382.1682.99
Year 2 PV (M)83.1884.8986.61
Year 3 PV (M)83.9386.5289.17
Year 4 PV (M)83.7787.2490.82
Year 5 PV (M)82.8787.1891.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,626.901,711.621,799.83
Equity Value (M)2,041.982,139.622,241.10
Shares Outstanding (M)65.2565.2565.25
Fair Value$31.29$32.79$34.34
Upside / Downside29.31%35.49%41.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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