Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hana Pharm Co., Ltd. (293480.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,933.35 - $19,139.67$15,193.75
Multi-Stage$32,750.45 - $36,097.83$34,391.00
Blended Fair Value$24,792.38
Current Price$12,100.00
Upside104.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.37%0.00%510.20510.20510.20463.90418.42260.68173.8059.170.000.14
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%9.98%10.87%60.51%49.99%193.72%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.98%3.69%3.43%2.40%1.87%1.42%0.76%0.20%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19,911.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,822.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,089.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,982.382,488.991,493.39
Cash Retained (M)11,089.1611,089.1611,089.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,982.38-2,488.99-1,493.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,106.788,600.179,595.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.2917.2917.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share410.97497.33554.90
LTM Dividend per Share510.20510.20510.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share410.97497.33554.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend921.171,007.531,065.10
WACC / Discount Rate5.56%5.56%5.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11,933.35$15,193.75$19,139.67
Upside / Downside-1.38%25.57%58.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19,911.9019,712.7819,515.6519,320.5019,127.2918,936.0219,504.10
Payout Ratio44.31%53.45%62.59%71.72%80.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,822.7410,535.9112,213.9313,857.3515,466.6717,042.4218,041.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.56%5.56%5.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9,879.699,980.5110,081.32
Year 2 PV (M)10,739.8510,960.1511,182.69
Year 3 PV (M)11,426.0011,779.3612,139.93
Year 4 PV (M)11,958.6612,454.2912,965.17
Year 5 PV (M)12,356.2912,999.7213,669.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)509,984.91536,541.01564,192.03
Equity Value (M)566,345.41594,715.03624,230.80
Shares Outstanding (M)17.2917.2917.29
Fair Value$32,750.45$34,391.00$36,097.83
Upside / Downside170.66%184.22%198.33%

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