Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Kyungdong City Gas Co., Ltd (267290.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61,174.36 - $104,672.99$80,009.48
Multi-Stage$114,212.74 - $125,684.33$119,837.15
Blended Fair Value$99,923.31
Current Price$20,350.00
Upside391.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS4.54%0.00%875.13875.13875.13875.13874.88701.01600.400.380.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.03%24.80%16.76%159,174.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.02%4.49%3.96%3.86%4.45%4.58%2.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,016.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,154.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)23,862.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,803.373,627.112,176.26
Cash Retained (M)23,862.7323,862.7323,862.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,803.37-3,627.11-2,176.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,059.3620,235.6221,686.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.895.895.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,065.453,434.863,681.13
LTM Dividend per Share874.88874.88874.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,065.453,434.863,681.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,940.334,309.744,556.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.37%6.37%6.37%
Growth Rate-0.07%0.93%1.93%
Fair Value$61,174.36$80,009.48$104,672.99
Upside / Downside200.61%293.17%414.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,016.8529,286.3829,558.4129,832.9630,110.0730,389.7531,301.45
Payout Ratio17.76%32.21%46.66%61.11%75.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,154.129,433.1513,791.2218,229.4422,748.9127,350.7828,953.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.37%6.37%6.37%
Growth Rate-0.07%0.93%1.93%
Year 1 PV (M)8,780.758,868.628,956.49
Year 2 PV (M)11,949.5812,189.9412,432.69
Year 3 PV (M)14,702.7415,148.5715,603.32
Year 4 PV (M)17,078.9417,772.9118,487.83
Year 5 PV (M)19,113.7120,089.4121,104.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)601,230.09631,921.13663,852.93
Equity Value (M)672,855.81705,990.59740,437.81
Shares Outstanding (M)5.895.895.89
Fair Value$114,212.74$119,837.15$125,684.33
Upside / Downside461.24%488.88%517.61%

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