Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Kedge Construction Co., Ltd. (2546.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$162.44 - $358.59$233.88
Multi-Stage$121.09 - $132.05$126.48
Blended Fair Value$180.18
Current Price$77.36
Upside132.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.71%16.37%3.733.742.132.952.462.461.771.230.821.23
YoY Growth---0.24%75.58%-27.78%20.00%0.00%38.89%44.00%50.00%-33.33%50.00%
Dividend Yield--5.07%4.58%3.51%6.24%6.03%8.81%6.65%6.22%5.22%9.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,069.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)482.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)586.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)213.89133.6880.21
Cash Retained (M)586.56586.56586.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-213.89-133.68-80.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)372.67452.88506.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)129.54129.54129.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.883.503.91
LTM Dividend per Share3.733.733.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.883.503.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.607.227.64
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$162.44$233.88$358.59
Upside / Downside109.98%202.33%363.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,069.451,138.961,213.001,291.841,375.811,465.241,509.19
Payout Ratio45.15%54.12%63.09%72.06%81.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)482.89616.43765.30930.911,114.831,318.711,396.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)556.20561.47566.74
Year 2 PV (M)623.04634.91646.89
Year 3 PV (M)683.81703.44723.45
Year 4 PV (M)738.89767.30796.53
Year 5 PV (M)788.61826.70866.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,296.3212,890.2413,506.89
Equity Value (M)15,686.8816,384.0717,106.75
Shares Outstanding (M)129.54129.54129.54
Fair Value$121.09$126.48$132.05
Upside / Downside56.53%63.49%70.70%

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