Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Gala Technology Holding Limited (2458.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.37 - $52.44$34.77
Multi-Stage$17.61 - $19.24$18.41
Blended Fair Value$26.59
Current Price$4.33
Upside514.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS25.29%0.00%0.180.000.000.590.150.060.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%300.00%150.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.83%0.00%0.00%12.63%3.05%1.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)172.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)148.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.5521.6012.96
Cash Retained (M)148.06148.06148.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.55-21.60-12.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)113.51126.47135.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)135.39135.39135.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.840.931.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.840.931.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.121.18
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.37$34.77$52.44
Upside / Downside462.79%703.10%1,111.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)172.76183.99195.95208.69222.25236.70243.80
Payout Ratio14.30%29.44%44.58%59.72%74.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.7054.1687.35124.63166.38213.03225.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)48.8149.2749.74
Year 2 PV (M)70.9572.3073.66
Year 3 PV (M)91.2293.8496.51
Year 4 PV (M)109.75113.97118.31
Year 5 PV (M)126.64132.76139.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,937.532,031.122,128.28
Equity Value (M)2,384.902,493.262,605.61
Shares Outstanding (M)135.39135.39135.39
Fair Value$17.61$18.41$19.24
Upside / Downside306.80%325.29%344.45%

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