Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sunrex Technology Corporation (2387.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$279.74 - $995.00$915.13
Multi-Stage$131.27 - $143.37$137.21
Blended Fair Value$526.17
Current Price$41.25
Upside1,175.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.69%26.74%2.933.412.921.950.970.970.440.520.610.27
YoY Growth---14.05%16.67%50.00%101.26%-0.42%121.94%-15.95%-14.31%121.18%0.35%
Dividend Yield--4.79%5.28%6.59%4.69%1.46%3.66%2.33%2.81%2.30%1.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)992.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)786.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)206.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)198.50124.0674.44
Cash Retained (M)206.28206.28206.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-198.50-124.06-74.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.7982.22131.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)198.37198.37198.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.410.66
LTM Dividend per Share3.963.963.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.410.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.004.384.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$279.74$915.13$995.00
Upside / Downside578.17%2,118.49%2,312.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)992.481,056.991,125.691,198.861,276.791,359.781,400.57
Payout Ratio79.22%81.37%83.53%85.69%87.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)786.19860.10940.281,027.261,121.571,223.801,295.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)796.21803.76811.30
Year 2 PV (M)805.79821.13836.63
Year 3 PV (M)814.93838.33862.16
Year 4 PV (M)823.66855.34887.92
Year 5 PV (M)831.98872.17913.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,966.6623,027.6624,129.27
Equity Value (M)26,039.2427,218.3828,441.17
Shares Outstanding (M)198.37198.37198.37
Fair Value$131.27$137.21$143.37
Upside / Downside218.22%232.63%247.57%

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