Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$369.73 - $696.85$502.41
Multi-Stage$318.34 - $347.90$332.85
Blended Fair Value$417.63
Current Price$82.73
Upside404.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS18.66%0.00%2.522.511.922.092.341.070.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.26%30.67%-7.90%-10.71%118.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.29%3.67%5.20%4.69%5.07%1.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)565.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)445.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.1170.6942.42
Cash Retained (M)445.04445.04445.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.11-70.69-42.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)331.93374.35402.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.9623.9623.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.8515.6216.80
LTM Dividend per Share5.035.035.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.8515.6216.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.8820.6521.83
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate4.51%5.51%6.51%
Fair Value$369.73$502.41$696.85
Upside / Downside346.92%507.29%742.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)565.54596.70629.58664.26700.86739.47761.65
Payout Ratio21.31%35.05%48.78%62.52%76.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.50209.12307.14415.32534.48665.52704.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate4.51%5.51%6.51%
Year 1 PV (M)188.57190.38192.18
Year 2 PV (M)249.74254.54259.39
Year 3 PV (M)304.52313.35322.34
Year 4 PV (M)353.39367.11381.23
Year 5 PV (M)396.79416.14436.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,135.796,435.026,745.80
Equity Value (M)7,628.817,976.548,337.19
Shares Outstanding (M)23.9623.9623.96
Fair Value$318.34$332.85$347.90
Upside / Downside284.80%302.34%320.53%

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