Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Regina Miracle International (Holdings) Limited (2199.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.17 - $15.13$9.21
Multi-Stage$24.49 - $27.01$25.73
Blended Fair Value$17.47
Current Price$2.15
Upside712.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-9.63%0.00%0.050.050.160.120.040.080.070.050.060.00
YoY Growth---11.32%-66.24%35.34%190.00%-48.72%5.41%48.00%-10.72%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.61%2.68%5.23%2.44%1.75%2.29%1.30%0.75%0.93%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)365.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)187.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)177.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)73.0245.6427.38
Cash Retained (M)177.81177.81177.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-73.02-45.64-27.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)104.78132.17150.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,224.251,224.251,224.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.28
WACC / Discount Rate3.60%3.60%3.60%
Growth Rate-0.25%0.75%1.75%
Fair Value$6.17$9.21$15.13
Upside / Downside187.12%328.29%603.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)365.12367.84370.59373.35376.14378.94390.31
Payout Ratio51.30%59.04%66.78%74.52%82.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)187.31217.18247.48278.22309.41341.05361.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.60%3.60%3.60%
Growth Rate-0.25%0.75%1.75%
Year 1 PV (M)207.55209.63211.71
Year 2 PV (M)226.02230.57235.17
Year 3 PV (M)242.83250.21257.73
Year 4 PV (M)258.08268.58279.41
Year 5 PV (M)271.85285.75300.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,778.4230,250.2231,781.63
Equity Value (M)29,984.7531,494.9733,065.87
Shares Outstanding (M)1,224.251,224.251,224.25
Fair Value$24.49$25.73$27.01
Upside / Downside1,039.18%1,096.55%1,156.24%

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