Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

JBM (Healthcare) Limited (2161.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.01 - $8.19$6.43
Multi-Stage$15.26 - $16.84$16.03
Blended Fair Value$11.23
Current Price$2.99
Upside275.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.060.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--49.29%1,079.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.31%7.08%0.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)380.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)131.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)248.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)76.0547.5328.52
Cash Retained (M)248.87248.87248.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-76.05-47.53-28.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)172.81201.33220.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)827.81827.81827.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate5.19%5.19%5.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.01$6.43$8.19
Upside / Downside67.52%115.00%173.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)380.27376.47372.71368.98365.29361.64372.49
Payout Ratio34.56%45.65%56.73%67.82%78.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)131.41171.84211.45250.25288.25325.47344.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.19%5.19%5.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)161.71163.36165.01
Year 2 PV (M)187.26191.10194.98
Year 3 PV (M)208.56215.01221.59
Year 4 PV (M)226.07235.44245.10
Year 5 PV (M)240.21252.72265.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,610.5412,215.1312,844.64
Equity Value (M)12,634.3513,272.7513,937.06
Shares Outstanding (M)827.81827.81827.81
Fair Value$15.26$16.03$16.84
Upside / Downside410.45%436.24%463.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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