Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Suxin Joyful Life Services Co., Ltd. (2152.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.99 - $12.72$10.83
Multi-Stage$13.37 - $14.68$14.01
Blended Fair Value$12.42
Current Price$5.01
Upside147.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.230.050.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--400.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.57%0.71%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)111.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8817.4310.46
Cash Retained (M)111.64111.64111.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.88-17.43-10.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)83.7694.22101.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)101.05101.05101.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.830.931.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.830.931.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.101.211.28
WACC / Discount Rate10.04%10.04%10.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.99$10.83$12.72
Upside / Downside79.38%116.15%153.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.40138.01136.63135.26133.91132.57136.55
Payout Ratio19.91%33.93%47.95%61.97%75.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.7646.8365.5183.81101.75119.31126.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.04%10.04%10.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)42.1342.5642.99
Year 2 PV (M)53.0254.1155.20
Year 3 PV (M)61.0262.9164.84
Year 4 PV (M)66.6469.4172.25
Year 5 PV (M)70.3073.9677.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,057.871,112.951,170.31
Equity Value (M)1,350.981,415.891,483.36
Shares Outstanding (M)101.05101.05101.05
Fair Value$13.37$14.01$14.68
Upside / Downside166.86%179.69%193.01%

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