DDM Analysis: 2020.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$313.34 - $1,586.45	$561.31
Multi-Stage	$191.11 - $208.81	$199.80
Blended Fair Value	$380.55
Current Price	$86.20
Upside	341.48%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	33.80%	18.94%	2.09	1.38	1.29	0.83	0.48	0.49	0.83	0.67	0.53	0.46
YoY Growth	-	-	50.97%	7.20%	55.62%	71.72%	-0.85%	-41.61%	25.21%	25.69%	15.54%	24.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.86%	2.08%	1.43%	0.87%	0.47%	0.78%	2.53%	2.27%	2.56%	2.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	28,115.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	11,285.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	16,830.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,623.00	3,514.38	2,108.63
Cash Retained (M)	16,830.00	16,830.00	16,830.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,623.00	-3,514.38	-2,108.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11,207.00	13,315.63	14,721.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,905.40	2,905.40	2,905.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.86	4.58	5.07
LTM Dividend per Share	3.88	3.88	3.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.86	4.58	5.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.74	8.47	8.95
WACC / Discount Rate	8.11%	8.11%	8.11%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$313.34	$561.31	$1,586.45
Upside / Downside	263.50%	551.17%	1,740.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	28,115.00	29,942.48	31,888.74	33,961.50	36,169.00	38,519.99	39,675.59
Payout Ratio	40.14%	50.11%	60.08%	70.06%	80.03%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	11,285.00	15,004.47	19,159.78	23,791.90	28,945.24	34,667.99	36,699.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.11%	8.11%	8.11%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	13,749.01	13,879.33	14,009.66
Year 2 PV (M)	16,087.64	16,394.07	16,703.38
Year 3 PV (M)	18,305.51	18,830.99	19,366.44
Year 4 PV (M)	20,407.07	21,191.87	21,999.09
Year 5 PV (M)	22,396.66	23,478.42	24,601.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)	464,294.32	486,719.90	510,003.77
Equity Value (M)	555,240.20	580,494.59	606,683.93
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,905.40	2,905.40	2,905.40
Fair Value	$191.11	$199.80	$208.81
Upside / Downside	121.70%	131.78%	142.24%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
688267.SS	China Catalyst Holding Co., Ltd.	1.26%	$0.35	34.87%
8848.T	Leopalace21 Corporation	1.26%	$8.31	27.11%
BAUH4.SA	Excelsior Alimentos S.A.	1.26%	$1.17	21.88%
CAST.ST	Castellum AB (publ)	1.26%	$1.33	21.53%
CRH	CRH plc	1.26%	$1.60	33.62%
HBEL.BO	Humming Bird Education Limited	1.26%	$0.30	36.54%
JCI	Johnson Controls International plc	1.26%	$1.54	56.71%
KOG.OL	Kongsberg Gruppen ASA	1.26%	$3.40	42.40%
OEM-B.ST	OEM International AB (publ)	1.26%	$1.74	40.26%
SAREGAMA.BO	Saregama India Limited	1.26%	$4.51	42.77%
SDPC.JK	PT Millennium Pharmacon International Tbk	1.26%	$2.00	15.16%
002448.SZ	ZYNP Corporation	1.25%	$0.16	32.06%
0QLU.L	Basler Kantonalbank	1.25%	$1.11	12.42%
145720.KS	Dentium Co. Ltd.	1.25%	$599.51	9.81%
204320.KS	Mando Corporation	1.25%	$820.37	29.46%
3684.TWO	Grand-Tek Technology Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$0.80	29.94%
5819.KL	Hong Leong Bank Berhad	1.25%	$0.28	13.43%
600633.SS	Zhejiang Daily Digital Culture Group Co.,Ltd.	1.25%	$0.16	35.54%
600850.SS	CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd.	1.25%	$0.37	49.83%
603329.SS	Shanghai Ace Investment & Development Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$0.14	79.14%
603920.SS	Olympic Circuit Technology Co., Ltd	1.25%	$0.61	53.40%
6632.T	JVCKENWOOD Corporation	1.25%	$15.03	12.26%
9717.T	JASTEC Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$24.25	22.00%
9719.T	SCSK Corporation	1.25%	$70.95	36.13%
ENTER.AT	Entersoft S.A.	1.25%	$0.10	20.30%
ETN	Eaton Corporation plc	1.25%	$4.08	40.54%
IRFC.BO	Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited	1.25%	$1.60	30.59%
LVC.WA	LiveChat Software S.A.	1.25%	$1.46	20.71%
ORSTED.CO	Ørsted A/S	1.25%	$1.60	10.19%
000514.SZ	Chongqing Yukaifa Co., Ltd	1.24%	$0.06	55.20%
002346.SZ	Shanghai Zhezhong Group Co.,Ltd	1.24%	$0.25	18.48%
002748.SZ	Jiangxi Selon Industrial Co., Ltd.	1.24%	$0.16	89.09%
1976.T	MEISEI INDUSTRIAL Co.,Ltd.	1.24%	$21.03	12.53%
300763.SZ	Ginlong Technologies Co., Ltd.	1.24%	$0.88	39.17%
600871.SS	Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation	1.24%	$0.03	81.02%
603585.SS	Suli Co., Ltd.	1.24%	$0.23	35.70%
605116.SS	Aurisco Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.	1.24%	$0.31	29.49%
ALWED.PA	Wedia S.A.	1.24%	$0.38	21.38%
MNC.WA	Mennica Polska S.A.	1.24%	$0.60	6.22%
MTHH.CO	MT Højgaard Holding A/S	1.24%	$6.49	19.74%
WALL-B.ST	Wallenstam AB (publ)	1.24%	$0.51	17.40%
WRT1V.HE	Wärtsilä Oyj Abp	1.24%	$0.38	40.46%
041830.KQ	InBody Co.,Ltd	1.23%	$400.00	16.47%
0QHK.L	SeSa S.p.A.	1.23%	$1.12	27.54%
0Y5C.L	Allegion plc	1.23%	$1.99	26.83%
300726.SZ	Zhuzhou Hongda Electronics Corp.,Ltd.	1.23%	$0.63	74.98%
300916.SZ	Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co., Ltd.	1.23%	$0.40	42.79%
4148.TW	All Cosmos Bio-Tech Holding Corporation	1.23%	$0.48	23.21%
544.SI	CSE Global Limited	1.23%	$0.01	26.84%
600104.SS	SAIC Motor Corporation Limited	1.23%	$0.19	75.02%

Financial Statements

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Sector

ANTA Sports Products Limited (2020.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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