DDM Analysis: 1979.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$129.04 - $152.03	$142.48
Multi-Stage	$86.75 - $95.20	$90.89
Blended Fair Value	$116.69
Current Price	$1.70
Upside	6,763.86%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.97%	0.00%	0.15	0.06	0.06	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.06	0.04	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	142.62%	9.92%	-48.97%	93.10%	16.00%	100.00%	-58.31%	50.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.87%	5.98%	4.05%	5.78%	2.76%	5.16%	3.92%	3.33%	2.75%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	787.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	231.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	555.74

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	157.54	98.46	59.08
Cash Retained (M)	555.74	555.74	555.74
(-) Cash Required (M)	-157.54	-98.46	-59.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	398.20	457.28	496.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,030.39	1,030.39	1,030.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.39	0.44	0.48
LTM Dividend per Share	0.23	0.23	0.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.39	0.44	0.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.61	0.67	0.71
WACC / Discount Rate	2.54%	2.54%	2.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$129.04	$142.48	$152.03
Upside / Downside	7,490.65%	8,280.96%	8,843.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	787.69	838.89	893.42	951.49	1,013.34	1,079.21	1,111.58
Payout Ratio	29.45%	41.56%	53.67%	65.78%	77.89%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	231.95	348.62	479.48	625.88	789.28	971.29	1,028.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	2.54%	2.54%	2.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	336.80	339.99	343.19
Year 2 PV (M)	447.51	456.04	464.64
Year 3 PV (M)	564.34	580.54	597.05
Year 4 PV (M)	687.54	713.99	741.18
Year 5 PV (M)	817.39	856.87	897.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)	86,530.22	90,709.66	95,049.06
Equity Value (M)	89,383.81	93,657.09	98,092.98
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,030.39	1,030.39	1,030.39
Fair Value	$86.75	$90.89	$95.20
Upside / Downside	5,002.80%	5,246.76%	5,500.00%

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Ten Pao Group Holdings Limited (1979.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener