DDM Analysis: 1585.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$11.91 - $17.43	$14.57
Multi-Stage	$10.68 - $11.58	$11.12
Blended Fair Value	$12.85
Current Price	$11.46
Upside	12.12%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	52.08%	30.07%	0.28	0.36	0.23	0.15	0.09	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	-21.48%	55.20%	55.52%	71.64%	150.04%	4.45%	-3.57%	0.00%	-100.00%	79.34%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.34%	2.96%	2.03%	1.21%	0.65%	1.91%	1.26%	1.52%	0.00%	3.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,373.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,954.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,419.77

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	874.78	546.74	328.04
Cash Retained (M)	2,419.77	2,419.77	2,419.77
(-) Cash Required (M)	-874.78	-546.74	-328.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,544.99	1,873.03	2,091.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,018.05	3,018.05	3,018.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.51	0.62	0.69
LTM Dividend per Share	0.65	0.65	0.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.51	0.62	0.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.16	1.27	1.34
WACC / Discount Rate	15.77%	15.77%	15.77%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$11.91	$14.57	$17.43
Upside / Downside	3.96%	27.18%	52.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,373.92	4,658.22	4,961.01	5,283.47	5,626.90	5,992.65	6,172.43
Payout Ratio	44.68%	53.74%	62.81%	71.87%	80.94%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,954.15	2,503.42	3,115.83	3,797.28	4,554.16	5,393.38	5,709.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	15.77%	15.77%	15.77%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,142.17	2,162.47	2,182.78
Year 2 PV (M)	2,281.47	2,324.92	2,368.79
Year 3 PV (M)	2,379.21	2,447.51	2,517.11
Year 4 PV (M)	2,441.68	2,535.58	2,632.16
Year 5 PV (M)	2,474.36	2,593.87	2,717.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)	20,517.71	21,508.72	22,537.66
Equity Value (M)	32,236.59	33,573.08	34,956.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,018.05	3,018.05	3,018.05
Fair Value	$10.68	$11.12	$11.58
Upside / Downside	-6.80%	-2.93%	1.07%

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Yadea Group Holdings Ltd. (1585.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener