Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation (1409.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.60 - $49.16$32.38
Multi-Stage$33.08 - $36.30$34.66
Blended Fair Value$33.52
Current Price$14.15
Upside136.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.34%4.14%0.561.021.431.120.560.870.510.250.250.44
YoY Growth---45.00%-28.57%27.27%100.00%-35.29%70.00%100.00%0.00%-41.94%17.48%
Dividend Yield--4.12%6.44%7.92%5.35%3.20%8.66%3.68%2.64%2.59%4.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,925.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)971.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)954.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)385.11240.70144.42
Cash Retained (M)954.53954.53954.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-385.11-240.70-144.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)569.41713.83810.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,589.411,589.411,589.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.450.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.450.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.971.061.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.21%6.21%6.21%
Growth Rate1.84%2.84%3.84%
Fair Value$22.60$32.38$49.16
Upside / Downside59.72%128.80%247.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,925.571,980.322,036.622,094.532,154.082,215.322,281.78
Payout Ratio50.43%58.34%66.26%74.17%82.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)971.051,155.381,349.411,553.551,768.191,993.792,110.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.21%6.21%6.21%
Growth Rate1.84%2.84%3.84%
Year 1 PV (M)1,077.241,087.821,098.40
Year 2 PV (M)1,173.071,196.221,219.59
Year 3 PV (M)1,259.191,296.641,334.84
Year 4 PV (M)1,336.241,389.501,444.34
Year 5 PV (M)1,404.831,475.171,548.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)46,321.0148,640.2551,051.46
Equity Value (M)52,571.5855,085.6057,696.92
Shares Outstanding (M)1,589.411,589.411,589.41
Fair Value$33.08$34.66$36.30
Upside / Downside133.75%144.93%156.54%

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