Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PW Medtech Group Limited (1358.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.80 - $2.76$2.25
Multi-Stage$2.64 - $2.89$2.77
Blended Fair Value$2.51
Current Price$1.20
Upside109.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.050.001.340.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--87.67%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.32%6.20%0.00%164.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)298.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)205.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.8037.3722.42
Cash Retained (M)93.0293.0293.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.80-37.37-22.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.2355.6570.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,534.821,534.821,534.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate0.37%1.37%2.37%
Fair Value$1.80$2.25$2.76
Upside / Downside50.23%87.57%130.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)298.99303.10307.26311.49315.77320.11329.71
Payout Ratio68.89%73.11%77.33%81.55%85.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)205.96221.59237.61254.03270.86288.10304.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate0.37%1.37%2.37%
Year 1 PV (M)201.20203.20205.20
Year 2 PV (M)195.88199.80203.77
Year 3 PV (M)190.14195.88201.74
Year 4 PV (M)184.07191.52199.19
Year 5 PV (M)177.77186.80196.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,109.613,267.633,432.01
Equity Value (M)4,058.674,244.844,438.10
Shares Outstanding (M)1,534.821,534.821,534.82
Fair Value$2.64$2.77$2.89
Upside / Downside120.37%130.47%140.97%

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