Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cathay Consolidated, Inc. (1342.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$913.92 - $1,076.75$1,009.07
Multi-Stage$605.17 - $663.74$633.91
Blended Fair Value$821.49
Current Price$86.10
Upside854.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS48.14%0.00%4.504.792.572.141.950.630.380.380.380.00
YoY Growth---6.13%86.70%20.00%9.49%209.83%66.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.81%3.77%1.82%3.70%3.78%1.54%0.61%0.61%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)429.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)376.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.8753.6732.20
Cash Retained (M)52.5652.5652.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.87-53.67-32.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)-33.31-1.1120.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)79.3079.3079.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.42-0.010.26
LTM Dividend per Share4.754.754.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.42-0.010.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.334.745.01
WACC / Discount Rate3.08%3.08%3.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$913.92$1,009.07$1,076.75
Upside / Downside961.46%1,071.98%1,150.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)429.35457.26486.98518.63552.35588.25605.90
Payout Ratio87.76%88.21%88.66%89.10%89.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)376.80403.34431.74462.12494.64529.42560.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.08%3.08%3.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)387.61391.28394.96
Year 2 PV (M)398.72406.32413.98
Year 3 PV (M)410.14421.92433.91
Year 4 PV (M)421.88438.11454.79
Year 5 PV (M)433.95454.91476.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)45,938.0148,156.8450,460.58
Equity Value (M)47,990.3250,269.3752,634.90
Shares Outstanding (M)79.3079.3079.30
Fair Value$605.17$633.91$663.74
Upside / Downside602.87%636.25%670.89%

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