Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wuxi Sunlit Science and Technology Company Limited (1289.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$122.49 - $144.32$135.25
Multi-Stage$86.08 - $94.48$90.20
Blended Fair Value$112.73
Current Price$1.73
Upside6,415.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.86%0.00%0.080.080.000.050.000.050.050.050.000.15
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.56%12.26%0.00%6.46%0.00%4.10%3.09%2.43%0.00%3.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.5811.616.97
Cash Retained (M)72.4372.4372.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.58-11.61-6.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.8560.8265.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)128.00128.00128.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.480.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.480.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.640.67
WACC / Discount Rate1.57%1.57%1.57%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Fair Value$122.49$135.25$144.32
Upside / Downside6,980.48%7,717.70%8,242.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92.9198.92105.32112.14119.39127.12130.93
Payout Ratio22.04%35.63%49.23%62.82%76.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.4835.2551.8570.4491.23114.40121.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.57%1.57%1.57%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Year 1 PV (M)34.3834.7035.03
Year 2 PV (M)49.3150.2551.20
Year 3 PV (M)65.3467.2269.13
Year 4 PV (M)82.5385.7188.97
Year 5 PV (M)100.95105.82110.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,686.1811,202.4811,738.55
Equity Value (M)11,018.7011,546.1912,093.77
Shares Outstanding (M)128.00128.00128.00
Fair Value$86.08$90.20$94.48
Upside / Downside4,875.93%5,114.14%5,361.42%

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