Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Impro Precision Industries Limited (1286.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.99 - $92.72$35.22
Multi-Stage$58.50 - $64.53$61.45
Blended Fair Value$48.34
Current Price$2.95
Upside1,538.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.18%0.00%0.160.160.150.050.060.090.050.060.030.00
YoY Growth--0.09%5.39%223.40%-16.07%-40.66%76.85%-14.83%136.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.21%7.04%6.83%2.54%2.24%2.94%1.77%2.08%0.88%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,272.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)603.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)668.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)254.50159.0695.44
Cash Retained (M)668.63668.63668.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-254.50-159.06-95.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)414.13509.57573.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,887.161,887.161,887.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.270.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.270.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.62
WACC / Discount Rate2.10%2.10%2.10%
Growth Rate-0.58%0.42%1.42%
Fair Value$19.99$35.22$92.72
Upside / Downside577.78%1,093.89%3,043.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,272.501,277.831,283.191,288.571,293.971,299.401,338.38
Payout Ratio47.46%55.96%64.47%72.98%81.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)603.87715.13827.31940.431,054.471,169.461,238.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.10%2.10%2.10%
Growth Rate-0.58%0.42%1.42%
Year 1 PV (M)693.44700.41707.39
Year 2 PV (M)777.88793.61809.49
Year 3 PV (M)857.41883.55910.20
Year 4 PV (M)932.23970.301,009.53
Year 5 PV (M)1,002.521,053.961,107.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)106,127.62111,573.46117,240.59
Equity Value (M)110,391.10115,975.29121,784.70
Shares Outstanding (M)1,887.161,887.161,887.16
Fair Value$58.50$61.45$64.53
Upside / Downside1,882.91%1,983.21%2,087.57%

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