Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PC Partner Group Limited (1263.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$79.32 - $283.63$256.82
Multi-Stage$36.96 - $40.39$38.64
Blended Fair Value$147.73
Current Price$6.82
Upside2,066.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%24.97%0.400.352.411.060.000.000.590.210.040.05
YoY Growth--14.29%-85.47%127.73%0.00%0.00%-100.00%181.56%452.35%-22.22%12.50%
Dividend Yield--8.03%10.97%48.76%7.73%0.00%0.00%33.67%5.67%1.72%7.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)553.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)349.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)204.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)110.6569.1541.49
Cash Retained (M)204.14204.14204.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-110.65-69.15-41.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.49134.98162.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)387.88387.88387.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.350.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.350.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.141.251.32
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.49%6.49%7.49%
Fair Value$79.32$256.82$283.63
Upside / Downside1,063.08%3,665.75%4,058.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)553.23589.15627.40668.13711.51757.70780.43
Payout Ratio63.10%68.48%73.86%79.24%84.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)349.10403.45463.40529.43602.08681.93721.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.49%6.49%7.49%
Year 1 PV (M)373.49377.03380.57
Year 2 PV (M)397.11404.68412.31
Year 3 PV (M)420.00432.05444.34
Year 4 PV (M)442.15459.16476.65
Year 5 PV (M)463.59485.98509.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,239.0312,830.2213,444.04
Equity Value (M)14,335.3614,989.1215,667.14
Shares Outstanding (M)387.88387.88387.88
Fair Value$36.96$38.64$40.39
Upside / Downside441.90%466.62%492.25%

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