DDM Analysis: 1093.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$147.56 - $173.85	$162.93
Multi-Stage	$33.80 - $37.00	$35.37
Blended Fair Value	$99.15
Current Price	$7.70
Upside	1,187.67%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	26.55%	22.19%	0.30	0.25	0.18	0.17	0.13	0.09	0.08	0.06	0.06	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	16.90%	43.03%	2.91%	33.39%	41.40%	21.22%	22.68%	11.73%	10.06%	25.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.21%	3.50%	2.17%	2.04%	1.63%	0.95%	1.28%	0.72%	1.28%	1.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	10,320.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6,175.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4,144.42

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,064.08	1,290.05	774.03
Cash Retained (M)	4,144.42	4,144.42	4,144.42
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,064.08	-1,290.05	-774.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,080.35	2,854.38	3,370.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	11,805.68	11,805.68	11,805.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.18	0.24	0.29
LTM Dividend per Share	0.52	0.52	0.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.18	0.24	0.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.70	0.76	0.81
WACC / Discount Rate	5.71%	5.71%	5.71%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$147.56	$162.93	$173.85
Upside / Downside	1,816.40%	2,015.93%	2,157.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	10,320.38	10,991.20	11,705.63	12,466.50	13,276.82	14,139.81	14,564.01
Payout Ratio	59.84%	65.87%	71.91%	77.94%	83.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6,175.95	7,240.33	8,416.98	9,716.00	11,148.34	12,725.83	13,471.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.71%	5.71%	5.71%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	6,784.86	6,849.17	6,913.49
Year 2 PV (M)	7,391.32	7,532.10	7,674.21
Year 3 PV (M)	7,995.32	8,224.84	8,458.71
Year 4 PV (M)	8,596.89	8,927.50	9,267.56
Year 5 PV (M)	9,196.02	9,640.19	10,101.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)	359,096.01	376,440.48	394,448.77
Equity Value (M)	399,060.42	417,614.29	436,864.10
Shares Outstanding (M)	11,805.68	11,805.68	11,805.68
Fair Value	$33.80	$35.37	$37.00
Upside / Downside	338.99%	359.40%	380.58%

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CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited (1093.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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