Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ambea AB (publ) (0RNX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,365.70 - $1,609.02$1,507.89
Multi-Stage$389.94 - $427.48$408.36
Blended Fair Value$958.13
Current Price$135.90
Upside605.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.93%0.00%1.551.331.301.300.000.880.810.000.000.00
YoY Growth--16.07%2.75%0.00%0.00%-100.00%8.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.41%2.12%3.57%2.71%0.00%2.01%1.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)680.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)185.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)495.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)136.0085.0051.00
Cash Retained (M)495.00495.00495.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-136.00-85.00-51.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)359.00410.00444.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)84.0584.0584.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.274.885.28
LTM Dividend per Share2.202.202.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.274.885.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.477.087.48
WACC / Discount Rate5.16%5.16%5.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,365.70$1,507.89$1,609.02
Upside / Downside904.93%1,009.56%1,083.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)680.00724.20771.27821.41874.80931.66959.61
Payout Ratio27.21%39.76%52.32%64.88%77.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)185.00287.98403.56532.95677.45838.49887.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.16%5.16%5.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)271.28273.86276.43
Year 2 PV (M)358.13364.95371.84
Year 3 PV (M)445.54458.33471.37
Year 4 PV (M)533.52554.04575.15
Year 5 PV (M)622.07652.12683.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,543.4832,018.7433,550.46
Equity Value (M)32,774.0434,322.0535,928.56
Shares Outstanding (M)84.0584.0584.05
Fair Value$389.94$408.36$427.48
Upside / Downside186.93%200.49%214.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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