Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rai Way S.p.A. (0R40.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Media & EntertainmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.52 - $49.84$18.61
Multi-Stage$7.78 - $8.49$8.13
Blended Fair Value$13.37
Current Price$6.01
Upside122.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.69%22.73%0.320.270.240.240.240.220.200.160.140.12
YoY Growth--17.16%13.19%1.85%1.10%6.06%8.39%31.84%7.31%16.04%200.98%
Dividend Yield--5.54%5.36%4.35%4.17%4.88%4.88%4.37%3.42%3.00%2.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)89.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.0111.256.75
Cash Retained (M)0.360.360.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.01-11.25-6.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-17.65-10.90-6.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)269.40269.40269.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.04-0.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.04-0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate4.78%5.78%6.78%
Fair Value$10.52$18.61$49.84
Upside / Downside75.07%209.60%729.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90.0395.23100.74106.56112.72119.23122.81
Payout Ratio99.60%97.68%95.76%93.84%91.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)89.6793.0396.47100.00103.61107.31113.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate4.78%5.78%6.78%
Year 1 PV (M)85.7786.5887.40
Year 2 PV (M)82.0083.5785.16
Year 3 PV (M)78.3680.6382.93
Year 4 PV (M)74.8577.7580.74
Year 5 PV (M)71.4774.9578.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,703.711,786.581,872.64
Equity Value (M)2,096.162,190.062,287.43
Shares Outstanding (M)269.40269.40269.40
Fair Value$7.78$8.13$8.49
Upside / Downside29.46%35.26%41.28%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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