Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Bucher Industries AG (0QQN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$374.99 - $562.66$463.89
Multi-Stage$603.70 - $662.19$632.38
Blended Fair Value$548.14
Current Price$394.00
Upside39.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.07%7.40%13.5213.029.516.508.008.006.554.965.526.61
YoY Growth--3.83%36.90%46.32%-18.70%0.00%22.09%32.15%-10.27%-16.42%-0.15%
Dividend Yield--4.15%3.69%2.46%1.44%1.97%2.35%2.52%1.25%2.20%2.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)452.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)198.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)254.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)90.4456.5333.92
Cash Retained (M)254.05254.05254.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-90.44-56.53-33.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)163.61197.53220.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.2310.2310.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.9919.3121.52
LTM Dividend per Share19.3719.3719.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.9919.3121.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend35.3638.6740.88
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate-0.82%0.18%1.18%
Fair Value$374.99$463.89$562.66
Upside / Downside-4.82%17.74%42.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)452.20453.02453.85454.68455.51456.34470.03
Payout Ratio43.82%53.06%62.29%71.53%80.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)198.15240.35282.71325.22367.88410.70434.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate-0.82%0.18%1.18%
Year 1 PV (M)219.24221.45223.66
Year 2 PV (M)235.23240.00244.81
Year 3 PV (M)246.83254.38262.07
Year 4 PV (M)254.69265.12275.86
Year 5 PV (M)259.36272.70286.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,961.085,216.275,481.86
Equity Value (M)6,176.446,469.926,774.86
Shares Outstanding (M)10.2310.2310.23
Fair Value$603.70$632.38$662.19
Upside / Downside53.22%60.50%68.07%

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