Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Geberit AG (0QQ2.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$384.90 - $622.96$491.93
Multi-Stage$728.36 - $799.37$763.18
Blended Fair Value$627.56
Current Price$624.00
Upside0.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.52%4.05%12.6312.7613.0412.1812.1611.7111.4611.099.319.35
YoY Growth---0.99%-2.17%7.07%0.12%3.86%2.15%3.37%19.11%-0.45%10.18%
Dividend Yield--2.45%2.37%2.99%1.63%2.19%2.16%3.06%2.58%2.28%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,184.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)841.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)343.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)236.82148.0188.81
Cash Retained (M)343.10343.10343.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-236.82-148.01-88.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)106.28195.09254.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.2233.2233.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.205.877.66
LTM Dividend per Share25.3225.3225.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.205.877.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend28.5231.1932.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.89%6.89%6.89%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Fair Value$384.90$491.93$622.96
Upside / Downside-38.32%-21.16%-0.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,184.101,190.271,196.471,202.711,208.981,215.281,251.74
Payout Ratio71.02%74.82%78.61%82.41%86.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)841.00890.55940.60991.151,042.201,093.751,157.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.89%6.89%6.89%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Year 1 PV (M)824.83833.12841.40
Year 2 PV (M)806.88823.18839.64
Year 3 PV (M)787.49811.47835.93
Year 4 PV (M)766.93798.23830.47
Year 5 PV (M)745.47783.68823.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,262.9321,301.6222,382.47
Equity Value (M)24,194.5425,351.2926,553.35
Shares Outstanding (M)33.2233.2233.22
Fair Value$728.36$763.18$799.37
Upside / Downside16.72%22.31%28.10%

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