Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Kardex Holding AG (0QOL.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$367.84 - $780.32$522.23
Multi-Stage$283.07 - $308.38$295.50
Blended Fair Value$408.86
Current Price$295.26
Upside38.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.38%8.90%5.113.564.223.634.243.580.000.000.001.57
YoY Growth--43.27%-15.64%16.43%-14.37%18.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-27.98%
Dividend Yield--1.77%1.52%2.75%1.26%2.37%2.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)151.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.2618.9111.35
Cash Retained (M)63.4063.4063.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.26-18.91-11.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.1444.4952.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.727.727.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.295.766.74
LTM Dividend per Share11.3911.3911.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.295.766.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.6817.1518.13
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$367.84$522.23$780.32
Upside / Downside24.58%76.87%164.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)151.30161.13171.61182.76194.64207.29213.51
Payout Ratio58.10%64.48%70.86%77.24%83.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.90103.90121.60141.16162.76186.56197.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)93.5694.4595.34
Year 2 PV (M)98.62100.50102.39
Year 3 PV (M)103.10106.06109.08
Year 4 PV (M)107.06111.17115.41
Year 5 PV (M)110.51115.85121.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,671.701,752.451,836.28
Equity Value (M)2,184.562,280.482,379.89
Shares Outstanding (M)7.727.727.72
Fair Value$283.07$295.50$308.38
Upside / Downside-4.13%0.08%4.44%

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