Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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EFG International AG (0QJX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$312.00 - $367.59$344.49
Multi-Stage$99.58 - $109.03$104.22
Blended Fair Value$224.35
Current Price$14.70
Upside1,426.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.78%18.73%0.530.440.350.280.280.280.230.230.120.12
YoY Growth--20.92%24.61%23.26%1.25%1.38%19.75%0.70%89.21%0.80%26.94%
Dividend Yield--4.02%4.05%3.97%4.10%4.85%4.34%3.95%2.23%1.97%1.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)577.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)557.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)115.5872.2443.34
Cash Retained (M)20.6020.6020.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-115.58-72.24-43.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)-94.98-51.64-22.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)312.66312.66312.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.30-0.17-0.07
LTM Dividend per Share1.781.781.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.30-0.17-0.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.481.621.71
WACC / Discount Rate4.99%4.99%4.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$312.00$344.49$367.59
Upside / Downside2,022.47%2,243.45%2,400.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)577.90615.46655.47698.07743.45791.77815.53
Payout Ratio96.44%95.15%93.86%92.57%91.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)557.30585.60615.23646.24678.67712.60754.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.99%4.99%4.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)552.56557.80563.03
Year 2 PV (M)547.76558.19568.72
Year 3 PV (M)542.89558.48574.36
Year 4 PV (M)537.97558.66579.94
Year 5 PV (M)532.99558.73585.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,420.2329,792.9331,218.18
Equity Value (M)31,134.3932,584.7834,089.68
Shares Outstanding (M)312.66312.66312.66
Fair Value$99.58$104.22$109.03
Upside / Downside577.42%608.97%641.72%

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