DDM Analysis: 0NHS.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$41.64 - $68.19	$53.48
Multi-Stage	$61.87 - $67.78	$64.77
Blended Fair Value	$59.13
Current Price	$58.24
Upside	1.52%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.73%	-0.73%	2.17	2.11	2.11	2.14	2.11	2.09	1.95	0.67	1.65	2.46
YoY Growth	-	-	2.71%	0.10%	-1.34%	1.46%	0.78%	7.35%	188.48%	-59.21%	-32.81%	5.52%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.36%	3.85%	2.86%	2.06%	3.91%	6.16%	3.65%	1.47%	3.02%	4.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,803.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,059.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)	743.97

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	360.77	225.48	135.29
Cash Retained (M)	743.97	743.97	743.97
(-) Cash Required (M)	-360.77	-225.48	-135.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)	383.20	518.49	608.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	488.96	488.96	488.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.78	1.06	1.24
LTM Dividend per Share	2.17	2.17	2.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.78	1.06	1.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.95	3.23	3.41
WACC / Discount Rate	7.96%	7.96%	7.96%
Growth Rate	0.82%	1.82%	2.82%
Fair Value	$41.64	$53.48	$68.19
Upside / Downside	-28.50%	-8.17%	17.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,803.86	1,836.61	1,869.95	1,903.91	1,938.47	1,973.67	2,032.88
Payout Ratio	58.76%	65.01%	71.25%	77.50%	83.75%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,059.88	1,193.89	1,332.41	1,475.58	1,623.50	1,776.30	1,880.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.96%	7.96%	7.96%
Growth Rate	0.82%	1.82%	2.82%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,094.99	1,105.85	1,116.71
Year 2 PV (M)	1,120.81	1,143.15	1,165.72
Year 3 PV (M)	1,138.41	1,172.63	1,207.52
Year 4 PV (M)	1,148.78	1,195.04	1,242.69
Year 5 PV (M)	1,152.78	1,211.10	1,271.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)	24,598.47	25,842.89	27,137.17
Equity Value (M)	30,254.25	31,670.66	33,141.56
Shares Outstanding (M)	488.96	488.96	488.96
Fair Value	$61.87	$64.77	$67.78
Upside / Downside	6.24%	11.21%	16.38%

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Nutrien Ltd. (0NHS.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener