Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Esprinet S.p.A. (0NFS.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.53 - $77.57$41.49
Multi-Stage$37.81 - $41.71$39.72
Blended Fair Value$40.61
Current Price$5.88
Upside590.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.550.500.540.000.140.140.140.150.13
YoY Growth---100.00%8.74%-6.14%0.00%-100.00%-0.97%0.00%-10.01%21.26%40.45%
Dividend Yield--0.00%10.39%5.46%5.57%0.00%4.23%4.27%3.16%1.92%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.222.641.58
Cash Retained (M)1.321.321.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.22-2.64-1.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.89-1.31-0.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.7850.7850.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate0.85%0.85%0.85%
Growth Rate-1.02%-0.02%0.98%
Fair Value$17.53$41.49$77.57
Upside / Downside198.12%605.55%1,219.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21.0921.0821.0821.0721.0721.0621.69
Payout Ratio93.72%92.98%92.23%91.49%90.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.7619.6019.4419.2819.1218.9520.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.85%0.85%0.85%
Growth Rate-1.02%-0.02%0.98%
Year 1 PV (M)19.2419.4419.63
Year 2 PV (M)18.7319.1119.50
Year 3 PV (M)18.2418.7919.36
Year 4 PV (M)17.7518.4819.23
Year 5 PV (M)17.2818.1719.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,829.071,923.352,021.49
Equity Value (M)1,920.312,017.352,118.31
Shares Outstanding (M)50.7850.7850.78
Fair Value$37.81$39.72$41.71
Upside / Downside543.08%575.58%609.39%

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