Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Xylem Inc. (0M29.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$170.20 - $773.03$390.53
Multi-Stage$89.23 - $97.57$93.32
Blended Fair Value$241.93
Current Price$147.50
Upside64.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.00%14.05%1.441.230.890.830.770.710.620.530.460.42
YoY Growth--17.06%37.79%6.90%7.98%8.05%14.47%16.92%16.07%9.80%8.51%
Dividend Yield--1.20%0.95%0.85%0.98%0.73%1.10%0.77%0.69%0.91%1.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)948.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)380.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)568.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)189.60118.5071.10
Cash Retained (M)568.00568.00568.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-189.60-118.50-71.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)378.40449.50496.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)243.89243.89243.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.551.842.04
LTM Dividend per Share1.561.561.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.551.842.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.113.403.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.43%7.43%7.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$170.20$390.53$773.03
Upside / Downside15.39%164.77%424.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)948.001,009.621,075.251,145.141,219.571,298.841,337.81
Payout Ratio40.08%50.07%60.05%70.03%80.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)380.00505.49645.69801.98975.861,168.961,237.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.43%7.43%7.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)466.12470.54474.96
Year 2 PV (M)549.03559.49570.05
Year 3 PV (M)628.82646.87665.26
Year 4 PV (M)705.57732.70760.61
Year 5 PV (M)779.36817.00856.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,634.2719,534.3120,468.80
Equity Value (M)21,763.1722,760.9123,795.76
Shares Outstanding (M)243.89243.89243.89
Fair Value$89.23$93.32$97.57
Upside / Downside-39.50%-36.73%-33.85%

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