Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Charles Schwab Corporation (0L3I.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$245.47 - $898.28$761.14
Multi-Stage$112.75 - $123.39$117.97
Blended Fair Value$439.55
Current Price$94.60
Upside364.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.50%19.82%1.251.251.161.000.700.580.430.320.270.21
YoY Growth---0.04%7.87%15.81%42.34%20.75%34.69%32.94%21.81%25.58%3.75%
Dividend Yield--1.61%1.76%2.22%1.15%1.08%1.76%0.98%0.64%0.50%0.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,233.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,340.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,893.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,646.601,029.13617.48
Cash Retained (M)5,893.005,893.005,893.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,646.60-1,029.13-617.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,246.404,863.885,275.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,822.751,822.751,822.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.332.672.89
LTM Dividend per Share1.281.281.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.332.672.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.613.954.18
WACC / Discount Rate7.05%7.05%7.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$245.47$761.14$898.28
Upside / Downside159.48%704.59%849.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,233.008,768.159,338.079,945.0510,591.4811,279.9211,618.32
Payout Ratio28.42%40.74%53.05%65.37%77.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,340.003,571.954,954.166,500.978,227.9310,151.9310,746.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.05%7.05%7.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,305.283,336.613,367.94
Year 2 PV (M)4,242.074,322.874,404.43
Year 3 PV (M)5,150.985,298.855,449.52
Year 4 PV (M)6,032.636,264.636,503.25
Year 5 PV (M)6,887.617,220.297,565.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)179,898.92188,588.11197,609.85
Equity Value (M)205,517.50215,031.35224,900.69
Shares Outstanding (M)1,822.751,822.751,822.75
Fair Value$112.75$117.97$123.39
Upside / Downside19.19%24.70%30.43%

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