Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

New Wave Group AB (publ) (0KIZ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$132.26 - $424.29$213.61
Multi-Stage$89.21 - $97.34$93.20
Blended Fair Value$153.40
Current Price$109.90
Upside39.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.47%21.49%2.802.601.701.600.000.800.680.540.400.40
YoY Growth--7.70%52.91%6.25%0.00%-100.00%17.64%25.89%35.14%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.81%2.11%1.91%2.09%0.00%5.84%2.25%1.99%1.28%2.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)821.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)464.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)357.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)164.30102.6961.61
Cash Retained (M)357.30357.30357.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-164.30-102.69-61.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)193.00254.61295.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)165.86165.86165.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.541.78
LTM Dividend per Share2.802.802.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.541.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.964.334.58
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$132.26$213.61$424.29
Upside / Downside20.34%94.36%286.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)821.50874.90931.77992.331,056.831,125.531,159.29
Payout Ratio56.51%63.21%69.90%76.60%83.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)464.20552.98651.34760.15880.351,012.971,072.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)504.13508.90513.68
Year 2 PV (M)541.34551.65562.06
Year 3 PV (M)575.96592.49609.34
Year 4 PV (M)608.10631.49655.54
Year 5 PV (M)637.89668.70700.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,929.0812,505.2513,103.48
Equity Value (M)14,796.4915,458.4916,144.80
Shares Outstanding (M)165.86165.86165.86
Fair Value$89.21$93.20$97.34
Upside / Downside-18.82%-15.19%-11.43%

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