Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Sipef N.V. (0JSU.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$463.48 - $1,783.47$783.57
Multi-Stage$293.82 - $321.06$307.19
Blended Fair Value$545.38
Current Price$74.96
Upside627.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.13%4.08%2.153.242.140.430.000.621.891.190.581.20
YoY Growth---33.56%51.55%401.46%0.00%-100.00%-67.00%58.62%105.33%-51.86%-16.53%
Dividend Yield--3.66%5.53%3.39%0.66%0.00%1.01%3.38%1.55%0.93%2.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)165.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)108.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.0220.6312.38
Cash Retained (M)108.88108.88108.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.02-20.63-12.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.8688.2496.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.4310.4310.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.278.469.25
LTM Dividend per Share5.395.395.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.278.469.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.6613.8514.64
WACC / Discount Rate8.38%8.38%8.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$463.48$783.57$1,783.47
Upside / Downside518.31%945.31%2,279.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)165.08175.80187.23199.40212.36226.17232.95
Payout Ratio34.04%45.24%56.43%67.62%78.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56.2079.53105.65134.83167.36203.55215.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.38%8.38%8.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)72.6973.3874.06
Year 2 PV (M)88.2689.9491.64
Year 3 PV (M)102.95105.90108.92
Year 4 PV (M)116.80121.29125.91
Year 5 PV (M)129.83136.11142.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,553.492,676.822,804.88
Equity Value (M)3,064.013,203.433,348.02
Shares Outstanding (M)10.4310.4310.43
Fair Value$293.82$307.19$321.06
Upside / Downside291.97%309.81%328.30%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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