DDM Analysis: 0JQQ.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$49.72 - $115.49	$72.85
Multi-Stage	$61.23 - $67.02	$64.07
Blended Fair Value	$68.46
Current Price	$59.74
Upside	14.60%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.54%	4.67%	2.04	2.02	1.86	1.72	1.67	1.63	1.57	1.51	1.45	1.42
YoY Growth	-	-	0.82%	8.68%	7.79%	3.09%	2.53%	4.09%	3.84%	4.14%	2.04%	10.10%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.24%	3.24%	2.33%	1.91%	2.93%	4.64%	3.67%	3.48%	3.15%	3.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,189.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	984.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	205.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	237.80	148.63	89.18
Cash Retained (M)	205.00	205.00	205.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-237.80	-148.63	-89.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-32.80	56.38	115.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	483.75	483.75	483.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.07	0.12	0.24
LTM Dividend per Share	2.03	2.03	2.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.07	0.12	0.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.97	2.15	2.27
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	2.67%	3.67%	4.67%
Fair Value	$49.72	$72.85	$115.49
Upside / Downside	-16.78%	21.94%	93.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,189.00	1,232.64	1,277.89	1,324.80	1,373.43	1,423.84	1,466.56
Payout Ratio	82.76%	84.21%	85.66%	87.10%	88.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	984.00	1,037.97	1,094.58	1,153.95	1,216.19	1,281.46	1,356.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	2.67%	3.67%	4.67%
Year 1 PV (M)	963.13	972.51	981.89
Year 2 PV (M)	942.42	960.87	979.49
Year 3 PV (M)	921.89	949.10	976.83
Year 4 PV (M)	901.57	937.21	973.90
Year 5 PV (M)	881.45	925.22	970.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)	25,007.67	26,249.49	27,540.15
Equity Value (M)	29,618.14	30,994.39	32,422.97
Shares Outstanding (M)	483.75	483.75	483.75
Fair Value	$61.23	$64.07	$67.02
Upside / Downside	2.49%	7.25%	12.19%

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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (0JQQ.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener