Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Aecom (0H9N.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.28 - $64.93$52.12
Multi-Stage$100.63 - $110.94$105.68
Blended Fair Value$78.90
Current Price$130.47
Upside-39.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.000.860.720.470.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--15.90%19.81%51.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.77%0.81%0.78%0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)561.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)133.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)428.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.3570.2242.13
Cash Retained (M)428.20428.20428.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.35-70.22-42.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)315.85357.98386.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)133.37133.37133.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.372.682.89
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.372.682.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.373.693.90
WACC / Discount Rate6.00%6.00%6.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$41.28$52.12$64.93
Upside / Downside-68.36%-60.05%-50.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)561.77556.16550.59545.09539.64534.24550.27
Payout Ratio23.78%37.02%50.27%63.51%76.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)133.57205.90276.76346.19414.20480.82509.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.00%6.00%6.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)192.28194.24196.20
Year 2 PV (M)241.36246.32251.32
Year 3 PV (M)281.94290.66299.56
Year 4 PV (M)315.02328.08341.54
Year 5 PV (M)341.50359.29377.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,048.8012,676.2113,329.49
Equity Value (M)13,420.9214,094.8014,795.91
Shares Outstanding (M)133.37133.37133.37
Fair Value$100.63$105.68$110.94
Upside / Downside-22.87%-19.00%-14.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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