DDM Analysis: 0EXG.IL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$26.11 - $83.41	$42.12
Multi-Stage	$17.75 - $19.36	$18.54
Blended Fair Value	$30.33
Current Price	$21.48
Upside	41.22%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	16.00%	7.49%	0.68	0.58	0.79	0.29	0.35	0.33	0.64	0.69	0.29	0.65
YoY Growth	-	-	18.18%	-26.52%	172.93%	-16.52%	6.15%	-49.07%	-7.72%	136.23%	-54.74%	95.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.49%	3.14%	3.64%	1.33%	2.41%	1.98%	4.85%	4.68%	1.75%	4.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	615.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	388.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	227.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	123.00	76.88	46.13
Cash Retained (M)	227.00	227.00	227.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-123.00	-76.88	-46.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	104.00	150.13	180.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	627.34	627.34	627.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.17	0.24	0.29
LTM Dividend per Share	0.62	0.62	0.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.17	0.24	0.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.78	0.86	0.91
WACC / Discount Rate	8.67%	8.67%	8.67%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$26.11	$42.12	$83.41
Upside / Downside	21.56%	96.11%	288.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	615.00	654.98	697.55	742.89	791.18	842.60	867.88
Payout Ratio	63.09%	68.47%	73.85%	79.24%	84.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	388.00	448.47	515.16	588.63	669.48	758.34	802.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.67%	8.67%	8.67%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	408.82	412.70	416.57
Year 2 PV (M)	428.10	436.25	444.48
Year 3 PV (M)	445.90	458.70	471.75
Year 4 PV (M)	462.31	480.08	498.37
Year 5 PV (M)	477.37	500.43	524.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,914.77	9,345.36	9,792.42
Equity Value (M)	11,137.27	11,633.52	12,147.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	627.34	627.34	627.34
Fair Value	$17.75	$18.54	$19.36
Upside / Downside	-17.35%	-13.67%	-9.85%

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Financial Statements

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Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. (0EXG.IL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener