Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Able C&C Co., Ltd. (078520.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,969.51 - $5,650.33$4,796.34
Multi-Stage$6,528.07 - $7,142.37$6,829.39
Blended Fair Value$5,812.87
Current Price$7,780.00
Upside-25.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%10.75%364.221,270.780.000.000.000.000.00232.64158.674.81
YoY Growth---71.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%46.62%3,198.89%-96.33%
Dividend Yield--5.69%18.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.23%0.67%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,384.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,691.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,692.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,076.901,923.061,153.84
Cash Retained (M)4,692.674,692.674,692.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,076.90-1,923.06-1,153.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,615.772,769.613,538.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.0026.0026.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share62.15106.53136.12
LTM Dividend per Share411.25411.25411.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share62.15106.53136.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend473.40517.78547.37
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,969.51$4,796.34$5,650.33
Upside / Downside-48.98%-38.35%-27.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,384.4915,230.6415,078.3314,927.5514,778.2814,630.4915,069.41
Payout Ratio69.50%73.60%77.70%81.80%85.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,691.8211,209.4411,715.6312,210.5812,694.4613,167.4413,939.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10,116.2110,219.4410,322.66
Year 2 PV (M)9,541.889,737.619,935.32
Year 3 PV (M)8,975.099,252.659,535.88
Year 4 PV (M)8,420.758,769.759,129.49
Year 5 PV (M)7,882.658,293.128,720.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)124,781.91131,279.59138,045.18
Equity Value (M)169,718.49177,552.16185,689.04
Shares Outstanding (M)26.0026.0026.00
Fair Value$6,528.07$6,829.39$7,142.37
Upside / Downside-16.09%-12.22%-8.20%

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