Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Telcoware Co.,Ltd. (078000.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,751.32 - $9,520.61$8,123.02
Multi-Stage$10,864.20 - $11,891.22$11,367.93
Blended Fair Value$9,745.48
Current Price$15,540.00
Upside-37.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.49%-0.25%689.52652.46543.72521.97598.09706.84630.72543.72717.71652.46
YoY Growth--5.68%20.00%4.17%-12.73%-15.38%12.07%16.00%-24.24%10.00%-7.69%
Dividend Yield--7.87%6.10%5.99%4.86%5.20%6.07%4.35%3.42%6.30%4.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,471.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,304.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,166.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,094.20683.88410.33
Cash Retained (M)2,166.052,166.052,166.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,094.20-683.88-410.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,071.841,482.171,755.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.175.175.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share207.15286.45339.32
LTM Dividend per Share638.74638.74638.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share207.15286.45339.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend845.89925.19978.06
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.25%-1.25%-0.25%
Fair Value$6,751.32$8,123.02$9,520.61
Upside / Downside-56.56%-47.73%-38.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,471.015,402.755,335.345,268.775,203.045,138.125,292.27
Payout Ratio60.41%66.33%72.25%78.16%84.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,304.963,583.483,854.534,118.264,374.804,624.314,895.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.25%-1.25%-0.25%
Year 1 PV (M)3,224.723,257.713,290.69
Year 2 PV (M)3,121.373,185.563,250.40
Year 3 PV (M)3,001.063,094.113,189.06
Year 4 PV (M)2,868.842,988.053,110.93
Year 5 PV (M)2,728.872,871.333,019.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,268.7043,423.2145,666.78
Equity Value (M)56,213.5658,819.9761,527.56
Shares Outstanding (M)5.175.175.17
Fair Value$10,864.20$11,367.93$11,891.22
Upside / Downside-30.09%-26.85%-23.48%

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