Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

High Fashion International Limited (0608.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.97 - $19.50$13.74
Multi-Stage$15.84 - $17.39$16.61
Blended Fair Value$15.17
Current Price$1.31
Upside1,058.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.90%3.30%0.160.160.090.050.030.060.060.060.060.08
YoY Growth--0.00%72.22%80.01%66.67%-50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-25.00%-28.59%
Dividend Yield--8.61%10.33%5.63%3.45%2.07%3.13%3.09%3.16%3.13%3.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)189.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)94.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.8423.6514.19
Cash Retained (M)94.4594.4594.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.84-23.65-14.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)56.6170.8080.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)305.60305.60305.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.230.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.230.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Fair Value$9.97$13.74$19.50
Upside / Downside660.74%948.55%1,388.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)189.19193.54197.99202.55207.21211.97218.33
Payout Ratio50.08%58.06%66.05%74.03%82.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)94.74112.37130.77149.95169.94190.78201.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Year 1 PV (M)104.65105.68106.71
Year 2 PV (M)113.40115.65117.92
Year 3 PV (M)121.09124.71128.41
Year 4 PV (M)127.80132.92138.20
Year 5 PV (M)133.60140.33147.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,241.644,455.174,677.22
Equity Value (M)4,842.195,074.475,315.79
Shares Outstanding (M)305.60305.60305.60
Fair Value$15.84$16.61$17.39
Upside / Downside1,109.54%1,167.57%1,227.84%

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