Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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L.K. Technology Holdings Limited (0558.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.24 - $121.18$113.57
Multi-Stage$16.15 - $17.69$16.91
Blended Fair Value$65.24
Current Price$2.98
Upside2,089.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS33.78%0.00%0.080.090.080.090.030.020.080.040.020.00
YoY Growth---9.35%12.50%-8.33%236.13%36.36%-76.34%93.75%166.67%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.75%2.77%0.83%0.74%0.25%6.48%10.72%2.98%2.97%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)834.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)182.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)652.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)166.84104.2862.57
Cash Retained (M)652.14652.14652.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-166.84-104.28-62.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)485.30547.87589.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,369.011,369.011,369.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$39.24$113.57$121.18
Upside / Downside1,216.62%3,711.01%3,966.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)834.21888.44946.181,007.691,073.191,142.941,177.23
Payout Ratio21.83%35.46%49.10%62.73%76.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)182.07315.04464.53632.12819.541,028.651,088.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)292.18294.95297.72
Year 2 PV (M)399.57407.18414.86
Year 3 PV (M)504.27518.75533.50
Year 4 PV (M)606.35629.66653.65
Year 5 PV (M)705.84739.93775.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,607.7020,554.7521,538.06
Equity Value (M)22,115.9023,145.2324,213.12
Shares Outstanding (M)1,369.011,369.011,369.01
Fair Value$16.15$16.91$17.69
Upside / Downside442.10%467.33%493.51%

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