Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Beijing Enterprises Holdings Limited (0392.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$252.41 - $1,245.45$449.99
Multi-Stage$227.22 - $249.03$237.92
Blended Fair Value$343.96
Current Price$32.30
Upside964.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.72%5.30%1.501.971.291.141.141.131.000.950.960.94
YoY Growth---24.01%52.73%12.78%0.00%0.88%13.00%5.26%-1.11%2.61%5.19%
Dividend Yield--5.60%7.17%5.16%4.25%4.52%3.17%2.42%2.03%2.63%2.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,063.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,357.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,706.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,012.661,257.91754.75
Cash Retained (M)5,706.085,706.085,706.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,012.66-1,257.91-754.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,693.414,448.164,951.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,258.961,258.961,258.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.933.533.93
LTM Dividend per Share3.463.463.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.933.533.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.396.997.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate3.72%4.72%5.72%
Fair Value$252.41$449.99$1,245.45
Upside / Downside681.46%1,293.16%3,755.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,063.3210,537.9911,035.0511,555.5512,100.6112,671.3713,051.51
Payout Ratio43.30%52.64%61.98%71.32%80.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,357.245,547.056,839.418,241.349,760.3111,404.2312,072.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate3.72%4.72%5.72%
Year 1 PV (M)5,166.305,216.125,265.93
Year 2 PV (M)5,932.736,047.686,163.74
Year 3 PV (M)6,658.126,852.577,050.77
Year 4 PV (M)7,344.047,631.407,927.11
Year 5 PV (M)7,992.018,384.798,792.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)252,969.98265,402.65278,319.40
Equity Value (M)286,063.18299,535.20313,519.80
Shares Outstanding (M)1,258.961,258.961,258.96
Fair Value$227.22$237.92$249.03
Upside / Downside603.47%636.60%670.99%

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