Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Gwangju Shinsegae. Co. ,Ltd. (037710.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$875,132.55 - $1,031,818.63$966,610.44
Multi-Stage$4,220,214.82 - $4,651,035.55$4,431,432.36
Blended Fair Value$2,699,021.40
Current Price$30,500.00
Upside8,749.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.54%24.23%2,294.942,294.941,773.36730.21730.21629.26262.19262.19262.19262.19
YoY Growth--0.00%29.41%142.86%0.00%16.04%140.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.41%7.41%5.22%1.92%2.15%2.37%0.70%0.59%0.53%0.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41,122.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,779.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)24,342.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,224.485,140.303,084.18
Cash Retained (M)24,342.6024,342.6024,342.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,224.48-5,140.30-3,084.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,118.1219,202.3021,258.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.637.637.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,113.022,517.342,786.89
LTM Dividend per Share2,199.762,199.762,199.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,113.022,517.342,786.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,312.784,717.114,986.65
WACC / Discount Rate-33.14%-33.14%-33.14%
Growth Rate1.46%2.46%3.46%
Fair Value$875,132.55$966,610.44$1,031,818.63
Upside / Downside2,769.29%3,069.21%3,283.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41,122.3842,133.1743,168.8144,229.9045,317.0846,430.9747,823.90
Payout Ratio40.80%50.64%60.48%70.32%80.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,779.7821,337.7526,109.6631,103.2636,326.5741,787.8844,237.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-33.14%-33.14%-33.14%
Growth Rate1.46%2.46%3.46%
Year 1 PV (M)31,603.4131,914.9032,226.40
Year 2 PV (M)57,275.8858,410.5059,556.25
Year 3 PV (M)101,055.93104,073.59107,150.73
Year 4 PV (M)174,809.73181,804.20189,006.50
Year 5 PV (M)297,835.70312,805.68328,371.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,529,217.9833,113,957.1534,761,787.69
Equity Value (M)32,191,798.6333,802,966.0335,478,099.21
Shares Outstanding (M)7.637.637.63
Fair Value$4,220,214.82$4,431,432.36$4,651,035.55
Upside / Downside13,736.77%14,429.29%15,149.30%

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