Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HS Ad Inc. (035000.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$134,231.39 - $158,148.42$148,207.72
Multi-Stage$51,457.91 - $56,387.87$53,877.21
Blended Fair Value$101,042.47
Current Price$8,900.00
Upside1,035.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.47%8.45%450.38400.34350.30300.25300.25250.21250.21250.21200.17200.17
YoY Growth--12.50%14.29%16.67%0.00%20.00%0.00%0.00%25.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.76%6.29%5.67%4.56%5.20%6.01%3.01%2.88%2.02%2.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,882.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,534.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,347.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,576.461,610.29966.17
Cash Retained (M)2,347.342,347.342,347.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,576.46-1,610.29-966.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)-229.12737.061,381.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.1916.1916.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share-14.1545.5185.29
LTM Dividend per Share650.55650.55650.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share-14.1545.5185.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend636.40696.07735.84
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate5.46%6.46%7.46%
Fair Value$134,231.39$148,207.72$158,148.42
Upside / Downside1,408.22%1,565.26%1,676.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,882.3113,714.6214,600.7015,544.0316,548.3117,617.4718,145.99
Payout Ratio81.78%83.42%85.07%86.71%88.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,534.9711,441.1212,420.4013,478.4514,621.3715,855.7216,785.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate5.46%6.46%7.46%
Year 1 PV (M)10,830.6710,933.3711,036.07
Year 2 PV (M)11,130.3411,342.4211,556.51
Year 3 PV (M)11,434.0411,762.3912,096.97
Year 4 PV (M)11,741.7912,193.5212,658.16
Year 5 PV (M)12,053.6612,636.0713,240.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)776,112.78813,613.49852,549.99
Equity Value (M)833,303.28872,481.27913,138.48
Shares Outstanding (M)16.1916.1916.19
Fair Value$51,457.91$53,877.21$56,387.87
Upside / Downside478.18%505.36%533.57%

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